Analysis The numbers behind the result
Benfica edge seven-goal thriller despite near-equal xG
The 3-2 scoreline flattered Benfica slightly, as Estrela's 1.35 xG nearly matched the visitors' 1.09. Despite dominating possession (62%) and creating more shots (15 to 7), Benfica were only marginally more clinical – converting three goals from five on target, compared to Estrela's two from two. The hosts punched above their weight, with Lovro Zvonarek (48') and Leandro Antonetti (76') both scoring from their limited chances.
The game swung on a chaotic eight-minute spell. Benfica's Gianluca Prestianni opened the scoring (26'), but Estrela hit back through Zvonarek after half-time. Bernardo Schappo's own goal (68') put Benfica ahead again, only for Antonetti to level moments later. The decisive moment came in stoppage time, as Andreas Schjelderup assisted Vangelis Pavlidis for the winner. Benfica's superior chance creation (10 corners to Estrela's 1) ultimately proved the difference.
The key stat: Benfica's eight shots inside the box to Estrela's four showed a clearer intent in the attacking third, despite the narrow xG margin.
Match Timeline
Formations
Team Stats
Possession
Expected Goals (xG)
Line-ups
- 24Léo Linck
- 21M. Scholze
- 30Patrick Luan
- 4Bernardo Schappo
- 55Rafa Soares
- 6K. Höög Jansson
- 78Santiago Serra
- 99A. Marcus
- 14L. Zvonarek
- 10I. Stoica
- 37L. Antonetti
- H. Poniewas
- Joan Jordán
- A. Chernev
- David Grilo
- R. Muteba
- T. Moustier
- Robinho
- E. Pedro Vanga
- Jefferson Encada
- Alisson
- Diogo Pinto
- 24Samuel Soares
- 6A. Bah
- 44Tomás Araújo
- 2C. Lenglet
- 26S. Dahl
- 10H. Sudakov
- 36João Palhinha
- 27Rafa
- 30C. Echeverri
- 25G. Prestianni
- 14V. Pavlidis
- E. Barrenechea
- A. Circati
- Tiago Freitas
- J. Durán
- S. El Karouani
- A. Cabral
- Daniel Banjaqui
- J. Kamiński
- D. Lukebakio
- A. Schjelderup
- Manu
- A. Trubin
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