Analysis The numbers behind the result
Argentina's late surge masks dominant xG advantage
Argentina deservedly edged this semi-final, with their 2-1 victory reflecting superior shot quality (1.84 xG vs England's 0.53) despite the scoreline briefly flattering England. Lionel Scaloni's side generated nearly three times England's xG, converting just 27% of their 1.84 expected goals through Fernández (85') and Martínez (90+2'). England's clinical first half – Gordon scoring their only shot on target (55') from a 0.12 xG chance – belied their creative struggles, managing just 2 shots on target all game from 36% possession.
The decisive statistical gap came in Argentina's 15 total shots (5 on target) to England's 5 (2 on target), with Messi providing two assists late on as England's defensive shape collapsed. Argentina's territorial dominance (64% possession, 91% passing accuracy vs England's 84%) translated into sustained pressure, reflected in their 6 corners to England's 1. The key number: Argentina's 0.51 xG per shot compared to England's 0.11 – a stark difference in chance quality that ultimately told.
Match Timeline
Formations
Team Stats
Possession
Expected Goals (xG)
Line-ups
- 1J. Pickford
- 24R. James
- 5J. Stones
- 6M. Guehi
- 25D. Spence
- 4D. Rice
- 8E. Anderson
- 17M. Rogers
- 10J. Bellingham
- 18A. Gordon
- 9H. Kane
- D. Henderson
- J. Trafford
- J. Henderson
- D. Burn
- O. Watkins
- T. Chalobah
- N. Madueke
- B. Saka
- K. Mainoo
- N. O'Reilly
- I. Toney
- M. Rashford
- 23E. Martinez
- 26N. Molina
- 13C. Romero
- 6L. Martinez
- 3N. Tagliafico
- 5L. Paredes
- 17G. Simeone
- 24E. Fernandez
- 20A. Mac Allister
- 9J. Alvarez
- 10L. Messi
- G. Rulli
- J. Musso
- N. Otamendi
- R. de Paul
- E. Palacios
- G. Montiel
- N. Gonzalez
- G. Lo Celso
- L. Martinez
- M. Senesi
- F. Medina
- T. Almada
CF Pachuca 1-1 Club Queretaro
77'
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