Analysis The numbers behind the result
AL Masry's efficiency in the box edges high-volume El Mokawloon
AL Masry's 3-2 victory was justified by their superior chance creation, outshooting El Mokawloon 13-7 overall and 10-2 in shots inside the box. Their 1.04 xG nearly doubled El Mokawloon's 0.25 despite near-even possession (51%-49%), highlighting sharper attacking execution. El Mokawloon relied heavily on long-range efforts (5 of 7 shots outside the box), with Ibrahima Niang's 35th-minute opener their only clear chance before Omar Kamal's late consolation. AL Masry's Mohamed Hamada (44') and halftime substitute Hamza Faisal (51') turned the game with clinical finishes, before Mostafa El Shami sealed it in the 82nd minute with their third high-probability chance.
The decisive factor was AL Masry's shot placement: 7 of their 10 box touches were on target (70% conversion rate) compared to El Mokawloon's 2 from 2 (100% but volume-limited). Six corners to three further underscored AL Masry's territorial threat. While evenly matched in build-up (365 vs 345 passes), the visitors' willingness to penetrate the area – exemplified by Faisal's immediate impact off the bench – made the difference.