Analysis The numbers behind the result
Dundee edge Kilmarnock in tightly contested clash
Dundee’s 3-1 victory over Kilmarnock was a fair reflection of a closely fought encounter, as the xG metrics suggest (Dundee 2.28 vs Kilmarnock 2.24). Despite Kilmarnock’s slight edge in possession (54% to 46%), Dundee created more clear-cut opportunities, with 11 shots inside the box compared to Kilmarnock’s 13. Both teams registered 15 shots total, but Dundee’s clinical finishing, particularly from Ashley Hay, proved decisive.
Joseph Bevan opened the scoring in the 32nd minute, assisted by Ethan Hamilton, setting the tone for Dundee’s attacking intent. Kilmarnock responded with a penalty from Joe Hugill in the 75th minute, but Dundee regained control in the final stages. Ashley Hay’s late brace in the 83rd and 90+4 minutes, assisted by Alan Forrest and Owen Goodman respectively, sealed the win. Dundee’s ability to convert chances, supported by their seven corners, ultimately made the difference.
The decisive stat was Dundee’s five shots on target compared to Kilmarnock’s three, highlighting their superior efficiency in front of goal. Despite Kilmarnock’s higher possession and similar shot count, Dundee’s clinical edge secured the points.
Match Timeline
Formations
Team Stats
Possession
Expected Goals (xG)
Line-ups
- 1O. Goodman
- 7D. Wright
- 26J. Wright
- 4R. Astley
- 12I. Samuels
- 27J. Bevan
- 28C. Jones
- 48E. Hamilton
- 14A. Forrest
- 11A. Hay
- 21B. Fink
- B. Halliday
- Ž. Bešir
- Alfie Harrison
- I. Odutayo
- Cole Perrie
- C. Reilly
- H. Sharp
- J. Westley
- M. Akinmboni
- 58N. Mantl
- 2J. Brandon
- 4C. McCarthy
- 14G. Stanger
- 6R. Deas
- 18T. Lowery
- 36A. Tshibola
- 21M. Schjønning-Larsen
- 10T. John-Jules
- 9J. Hugill
- 11G. Kiltie
- D. Daniels
- R. Ellis
- Michael-John Kamson-Kamara
- Roshaun Mathurin
- R. McKenzie
- J. Meier
- E. Ring
- C. Ferrie
- I. Owen

