Analysis The numbers behind the result
Defensa Y Justicia edge tight contest with superior chance creation
Defensa Y Justicia deserved their narrow victory, as their superior expected goals (1.10 vs 0.50) reflected more dangerous attacking play despite Platense's higher shot volume (13 vs 10). While both sides registered three shots on target, Defensa's ability to work better openings inside the box (6 shots vs Platense's 7) and higher pass accuracy (80% vs 75%) in their 56% possession showed greater control of proceedings.
The decisive moment came in the 75th minute when David Martínez converted David Barbona's assist — one of only two saves forced from the Platense goalkeeper compared to three at the other end. Platense's late red card for Pablo Ferreira compounded their frustrations, but the key difference was Defensa's lower xG outperformance (1.10 xG for their 1 goal vs Platense's 0.50 xG for 0), showing they better translated possession into quality chances.