Analysis The numbers behind the result
Gremio edge tight contest with superior xG
Gremio's 1-0 victory over Coritiba was a fair reflection of the balance of play, with the visitors' higher expected goals (1.78 vs 1.21) justifying their narrow win. Despite Coritiba's resilient defensive display, Gremio's superior shot quality and efficiency in the final third proved decisive. The visitors dominated possession (58%) and created more dangerous opportunities, outshooting Coritiba 17 to 12, with 6 on target compared to the hosts' 4.
Martin Braithwaite's 92nd-minute winner, assisted by Francis Amuzu, was the culmination of Gremio's sustained pressure. The visitors' attacking trio of Pavón, Vinícius, and Amuzu consistently troubled Coritiba's defence, registering 12 shots inside the box. Coritiba, while organised, lacked the same cutting edge, with only 8 shots from high-danger areas despite 42% possession.
The key differential was Gremio's superior chance creation – their 10 corners to Coritiba's 5 and higher xG underline their more consistent threat. Braithwaite's late strike, arriving from one of Gremio's 7 shots off target, typified their persistence in turning territorial dominance into a decisive moment.
Match Timeline
Formations
Team Stats
Possession
Expected Goals (xG)
Line-ups
- 1Pedro Luccas
- 2Tinga
- 23Tiago Cóser
- 55Jacy
- 26Bruno Melo
- 5N. Fonseca
- 19S. Gómez
- 7J. Lavega
- 10Josué
- 32Pedro Rocha
- 18Paulo Roberto
- F. Bustos
- Breno Lopes
- Fabinho
- Felipe Jonatan
- Keiller
- Maicon
- B. Ocampo
- Richard
- Rodrigo Moledo
- Rodrigo Rodrigues
- Tissi
- Vini Paulista
- 1Weverton
- 6Gustavo Martins
- 2F. Balbuena
- 82Wallace
- 27Diego Caito
- 8E. Noriega
- 20M. Villasanti
- 23Marlon
- 7C. Pavón
- 95Carlos Vinícius
- 9F. Amuzu
- Tetê
- M. Braithwaite
- J. Enamorado
- Gabriel Grando
- F. Krovinović
- João Pedro
- Dodi
- Matheus Nascimento
- Marcos Rocha
- Bernardo Zortea
- Caio Paulista
- Wagner Leonardo

