Analysis The numbers behind the result
Coritiba defy low xG with clinical finishing against Corinthians
Coritiba's 2-1 victory over Corinthians was a case of efficiency trumping dominance, with the hosts scoring twice from just 0.37 xG — a stark underperformance of Corinthians' 0.55 xG. Despite holding only 36% possession and being outshot 15-12, Coritiba converted their limited chances, with Pedro Rocha (40') and Paulo Roberto (75') capitalising on Joao Pedro Chermont's two assists. Corinthians' 64% possession and 14 corners yielded just three shots on target, with Raniele's 93rd-minute consolation coming too late.
Tactically, Corinthians' high-volume approach (8 shots outside the box, 7 blocked) lacked precision, while Coritiba focused on selective counters (6 shots inside the box). The hosts' defensive discipline — only 8 fouls and 2 yellows — stifled Corinthians' buildup, despite their 90% pass accuracy. The decisive stat? Coritiba's 0.37 xG overperformed by 1.63 goals, while Corinthians underperformed theirs by 0.45 — a 2.08-goal swing in clinical finishing.
Match Timeline
Formations
Team Stats
Possession
Expected Goals (xG)
Line-ups
- 1Pedro Morisco
- 44João Pedro Chermont
- 23Tiago Cóser
- 55Jacy Maranhão
- 26Bruno Melo
- 21Thiago Santos
- 19Sebastian Gomez
- 7Joaquín Lavega
- 10Josué
- 77Breno Lopes
- 32Pedro Rocha
- Keiller
- Lucas Taverna
- Maicon
- João Almeida
- Felipe Jonatan
- Rodrigo Moledo
- Vitor Gonçalves Tissi
- Fernando Sobral
- Paulo Roberto
- Renato Marques
- Fabinho
- Rodrigo Rodrigues
- 51Kauê
- 20Pedro Milans
- 3Gabriel Paulista
- 13Gustavo Henrique
- 26Fabrizio Angileri
- 37Kaio César
- 14Raniele
- 29Allan
- 19André Carrillo
- 18Pedro Raul
- 7Breno Bidon
- Felipe Longo
- João Pedro Tchoca
- Iago Machado
- Hugo
- Charles
- Dieguinho
- Luiz Gustavo Bahia
- Matheus Pereira
- Alex Santana
- Gui Negão
- Jesse Lingard
- Memphis Depay

