Analysis The numbers behind the result
Coritiba edge a tight contest despite lower possession and shots
The 1-1 draw was a fair reflection of play, with Coritiba slightly outperforming their xG (1.16) and Botafogo marginally underperforming theirs (0.93). Despite having just 43% possession and 13 total shots to Botafogo's 18, Coritiba created higher-quality chances, evidenced by their superior xG. The hosts took the lead in the 22nd minute through Marçal's own goal, while Botafogo's Danilo dos Santos de Oliveira equalised in the 34th minute, assisted by Cristian Medina, after having a goal chalked off by VAR four minutes prior.
Botafogo's 57% possession yielded more shots (18 to 13) but fewer on target (5 to Coritiba's 3), highlighting their lack of cutting edge. Coritiba's defensive resilience was key, making 6 blocked shots to Botafogo's 3. Both sides were heavily involved in a scrappy affair, with Coritiba picking up 5 yellow cards to Botafogo's 2. Ultimately, Coritiba's ability to limit Botafogo to just 0.93 xG despite facing more shots was the decisive factor in securing a point.