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Liga MX · Apertura - 1

Analysis The numbers behind the result

Tijuana's high xG and clinical edge punished 10-man Tigres

Tijuana deserved their victory, outperforming Tigres on both expected goals (2.12 vs 0.59) and shot volume (15 total shots, 7 on target vs Tigres' 8 and 4). Despite near-even possession (51% vs 49%), Tijuana created higher-quality chances, with 10 shots inside the box to Tigres' 4—a disparity exacerbated by Rodrigo Aguirre's first-half red card. Ramiro Arciga's 32nd-minute opener, assisted by Yael Padilla, set the tone before Tijuana capitalized on numerical superiority after the break, with Mohamed El Ghezouani's late brace (90+5' penalty, 90+8') sealing it.

Tigres' lone bright spot was Ozziel Herrera's 56th-minute equalizer (assisted by Joaquim), but their xG of 0.59 reflected a toothless attack despite parity in passing accuracy (Tijuana 84%, Tigres 83%). The decisive stat was Tijuana's 2.12 xG—over 3.5 times Tigres' output—underlining their superior chance creation, particularly after Aguirre's dismissal tilted the game irreversibly.

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