Analysis The numbers behind the result
Pachuca defy 2.74-0.54 xG deficit to snatch road win
Pachuca's 2-1 victory at Club America was statistically improbable given the hosts' dominant 2.74-0.54 expected goals advantage, with America's 59% possession translating to 21 shots (8 on target) versus Pachuca's 16 (4 on target). Alan Bautista's 12th-minute opener against the run of play set the tone, before Henry Martin's 46th-minute equaliser – assisted by Erick Sánchez – briefly restored parity. Despite America creating higher-quality chances (11 shots inside the box to Pachuca's 7), Oussama Idrissi's 74th-minute winner from Salomón Rondón's assist proved decisive.
The match turned on Pachuca's clinical finishing, scoring twice from just 0.54 xG, while America's 8 shots on target yielded only one goal. Goalkeeper Carlos Moreno made 7 saves for Pachuca, including crucial stops during America's 10-shot second-half onslaught. The key discrepancy came in shot conversion – Pachuca scored from 12.5% of their total shots (2/16) versus America's 4.8% (1/21) – explaining how the visitors left with three points despite being outplayed statistically.
Match Timeline
Formations
Team Stats
Possession
Expected Goals (xG)
Line-ups
- 1L. Malagon
- 5K. Alvarez
- 14S. Bueno
- 15S. Ramos
- 24F. Rossano
- 3I. Reyes
- 28E. Sanchez
- 22O. Perea
- 8C. Alvarez
- 7B. Rodriguez
- 9H. Martin
- R. Cota
- R. Juarez
- D. Espinoza
- E. Cerrillo
- A. Cervantes
- A. H. Gutierrez Torres
- Miguel Borja
- I. Violante
- A. Cardenas
- D. Garcia
- 25C. Moreno
- 13J. Berlanga
- 4Eduardo Bauermann
- 2S. D. Barreto
- 15F. Venegas
- 7R. Pizarro
- 16C. Rivera
- 26A. Bautista
- 21N. Vallejo
- 23S. Rondon
- 11O. Idrissi
- J. Eulogio
- M. Isais
- U. Martinez
- P. Budib
- S. Santos
- S. Rodriguez
- A. Alcaraz
- Kenedy
- I. Zavala
- C. Hernandez

