Analysis The numbers behind the result
Mirassol's superior chance creation secures comeback win
The 2-1 result slightly flatters Mirassol, but their victory was largely deserved based on the balance of play. Chapecoense-sc took an early lead through Kauan's 12th-minute goal, but Mirassol's dominance in chance creation – evidenced by their superior xG (2.16 vs 0.40), total shots (13 vs 9), and shots on target (4 vs 3) – tells the story of a game they controlled despite the scoreline.
Mirassol's 55% possession and 90% pass accuracy suggests a team comfortable in build-up play, but they were initially wasteful – Reinaldo missed a penalty in the 20th minute before converting another in first-half stoppage time. The decisive moment came in the 57th minute when Chapecoense-sc defender Anderson turned the ball into his own net, completing Mirassol's comeback despite their goalkeeper's negative goals prevented (-0.48).
The telling stat is Mirassol's xG dominance (2.16 vs 0.40), highlighting their superior chance creation and confirming their victory was no fluke.