Analysis The numbers behind the result
Atletico Tucuman clinical despite being outpossessed
Atletico Tucuman's 2-0 victory was deserved on the balance of play, outperforming Central Cordoba de Santiago's xG (0.64 vs 0.38) despite holding just 41% possession. The hosts dominated the ball (59%) but struggled to create clear chances, with only 1 of their 9 shots on target. Tucuman were more efficient, converting both of their shots on target — Leandro Díaz's 63rd-minute opener (assisted by Ramiro Ruiz) and his 92nd-minute clincher proving decisive.
Central Cordoba's territorial advantage (405 accurate passes at 81% accuracy) failed to translate into meaningful opportunities, with just 5 shots inside the box and a paltry 0.38 xG. Tucuman's compact 4-3-3 limited space effectively, conceding only 3 corners despite the possession deficit. Díaz's clinical double (from 0.35 xG per goal) was the difference — the striker outperforming his individual xG by 1.3.
The key stat: Tucuman scored twice from 0.64 xG (3.13x overperformance), while Central Cordoba failed to score from 0.38 xG — a 2-goal swing in quality of finishing that decided the match.