Analysis The numbers behind the result
Celtic's dominance yields slender margin despite 2.55 xG advantage
Celtic's 1-0 victory narrowly reflected their dominance, posting a 2.55 xG against Dundee's 0.47, suggesting profligacy cost them a more comfortable win. The hosts controlled 65% possession, translating it into 18 shots (4 on target) versus Dundee's 11 (3 on target), with 9 corners underlining their territorial supremacy. Benjamin Nygren's 52nd-minute strike, assisted by Kieran Tierney, proved decisive but their 86% pass accuracy and 12 shots inside the box should have yielded more.
Dundee, limited to 35% possession and 73% pass accuracy, defended resolutely with 3 blocked shots and 3 goalkeeper saves keeping the deficit slim. Celtic's midfield control via Callum McGregor and Arne Engels (1 yellow) dictated tempo, yet their 10 shots off target highlighted wasted opportunities. The visitors' sole yellow card (A. Hay, 90') hinted at disciplined resistance, but their 0.22 goals prevented matched Celtic's goalkeeping performance, masking a gulf in chance quality.
The decisive stat: Celtic's 2.55 xG versus just 1 goal scored exposed their lack of clinical edge in a game where sheer volume of chances (18 shots, 9 corners) should have sealed a wider margin.