Match Centre

Casa Pia's 62% possession and 14 shots (2 on target) yielded just 0.77 xG, making Moreirense's 1-0 win statistically harsh but tactically disciplined. The visitors scored with their only first-half shot (Kiko's 24th-minute strike, assisted by Veloso) from 0.28 xG overall — the third-lowest xG for a winning Primeira Liga side this season. Casa Pia's territorial dominance (5 corners to 1) and 10 shots inside the box lacked precision, with only 2 forcing saves from Ferreira.

Moreirense's compact 4-2-3-1 restricted Casa Pia to speculative efforts (4 shots outside box), while their own clinical edge came from transitional play — 3 of their 6 shots originated from counters. The hosts' 80% pass accuracy (344/430) failed to translate into clear chances, with Prieto's 61st-minute yellow card summing up their frustration. Moreirense's xG underperformance (0.28 actual vs 1.0 expected) was offset by Gomes' 4 saves, but the decisive stat was Casa Pia's 0.77 xG from 14 shots — just 0.055 xG per attempt.