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Championship · Regular Season - 14
1–2
Full time

Analysis The numbers behind the result

Stoke clinch win despite Blackburn's dominance

Blackburn’s 1-2 defeat to Stoke City was harsh given their statistical superiority. With 58% possession and an expected goals (xG) of 1.9 compared to Stoke’s 0.99, Blackburn created more and better chances, registering 14 total shots and six corners. However, their inability to convert cost them, managing just three shots on target. Stoke, despite being outplayed, were clinical, with Jack McGlynn’s 43rd-minute goal and Moussa Baradji’s 68th-minute own goal proving decisive.

The tactical story was one of Blackburn’s dominance in build-up play but inefficiency in the final third. Stoke, while less involved (42% possession), maximised their opportunities, scoring from two of their three shots on target. Blackburn’s late surge, culminating in Andri Guðjohnsen’s 87th-minute goal, was too little too late as Stoke’s defence held firm amid relentless pressure.

The key stat was Blackburn’s xG of 1.9 – significantly higher than their actual goal tally, highlighting their profligacy. Stoke’s ability to convert limited chances into goals was the difference, ensuring they left Ewood Park with all three points.

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Match Timeline

30'🟨El Hadji Soumare
33'🟨Hayden Carter
41'🔁Gady Beyuku out Ryan Alebiosu
43'⚽Jack Mcglynn
45'🔁Junior Tchamadeu out Luca Bombino
58'🔁Svante Ingelsson out El Hadji Soumare
62'🟨Róbert Boženík
67'🔁Moussa·Baradji out Kristi Montgomery
67'🔁Augustus Kargbo out J. Fevrier
67'🔁Yuri Ribeiro out Harry Pickering
68'🥅Moussa·Baradji
74'🟨Viktor Johansson
78'🔁Yuki Ohashi out Oladapo Afolayan
81'🟨Augustus Kargbo
82'🔁Tomas Rigo out Million·Manhoef
82'🔁George Hirst out Róbert Boženík
85'🔁Bae Jun-ho out Justin Devenny
87'⚽Andri Guðjohnsen
90'🟨Andri Guðjohnsen
90+2'🟨Junior Tchamadeu

Formations

Blackburn · 4-2-3-1Stoke City · 3-4-3
22Tóth3Pickering15McLoughlin17Carter2Alebiosu31Montgomery8Morsy21Afolayan10Cantwell11Fevrier9Guðjohnsen1Johansson5Graham40Talovierov16Wilmot21Bombino27Soumaré7McGlynn2Johnson13Devenny9Boženík42Manhoef

Team Stats

BlackburnStoke City

Possession

58%42%

Expected Goals (xG)

1.90xG0.99
14Shots11
3On target3
6Corners5
12Fouls19
388Accurate passes270
3Yellow cards4

Line-ups

Blackburn4-2-3-1
Coach: Tony Mowbray
  • 22B. Tóth
  • 2R. Alebiosu
  • 17H. Carter
  • 15S. McLoughlin
  • 3H. Pickering
  • 8Sam Morsy
  • 31Kristi Montgomery
  • 11J. Fevrier
  • 10T. Cantwell
  • 21O. Afolayan
  • 9A. Guðjohnsen
Substitutes
  • Yuri Ribeiro
  • S. Wharton
  • M. Baradji
  • Gady Beyuku
  • D. De Neve
  • J. Garrett
  • A. Kargbo
  • Y. Ohashi
  • A. Pears
Stoke City3-4-3
Coach: M. Robins
  • 1V. Johansson
  • 16B. Wilmot
  • 40M. Talovierov
  • 5L. Graham
  • 2B. Johnson
  • 7J. McGlynn
  • 27El Hadji Djibril Soumaré
  • 21L. Bombino
  • 42M. Manhoef
  • 9R. Boženík
  • 13J. Devenny
Substitutes
  • Bae Jun-Ho
  • J. Griffiths
  • G. Hirst
  • S. Ingelsson
  • B. Lawal
  • B. Pearson
  • T. Rigo
  • J. Tchamadeu
  • F. Anderson
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