Analysis The numbers behind the result
Belgrano edge tight contest despite lower xG
Belgrano Cordoba's 2-1 victory slightly defied the expected goals (xG) tally (1.14 vs 1.28), but their superior shot efficiency (5 on target from 13 attempts vs Rosario's 3 from 10) justified the narrow win. Despite Rosario Central's 53% possession and marginally higher xG, Belgrano created higher-quality chances, with 9 of their 13 shots coming inside the box compared to Rosario's 8.
The hosts' clinical edge was personified by Nicolás Fernández (36') and Francisco González (88'), who converted two of their three big chances. Rosario's Julián Fernández (77') briefly levelled, but Belgrano's substitutions proved decisive – González's winner came just seven minutes after his introduction, assisted by fellow sub Rafael Hernandes. Rosario's two yellow cards (F. Mallo 28', E. Veron 90+2') reflected their frustration in failing to turn territorial advantage (7 corners to Belgrano's 6) into clear-cut opportunities.
The key stat: Belgrano's 84% pass accuracy in their own half (vs Rosario's 82%) allowed them to absorb pressure and counter effectively, despite having less possession overall.