Analysis The numbers behind the result
Başakşehir dominate shot volume and xG for deserved win
Başakşehir's 2-0 victory was fully deserved, with their expected goals (xG) of 1.96 dwarfing Kocaelispor's 0.50, reflecting their superior chance creation. Despite only narrowly edging possession (51% to 49%), Başakşehir translated dominance into a relentless attacking display, registering 17 total shots to Kocaelispor's 8, with 5 on target compared to their opponents' 4. Their 8 corners to Kocaelispor's 2 further highlighted their territorial advantage.
C. Operi opened the scoring in the 14th minute, assisted by A. Fayzullaev, before E. Shomurodov doubled the lead in the 72nd with A. Skov Olsen providing the assist. Both goals came during periods of sustained pressure, with Başakşehir's central midfield trio of Kemen, Kałuziński, and Fayzullaev dictating play. Kocaelispor struggled to create clear-cut chances, with their best opportunity coming from distance as they managed just 3 shots inside the box throughout the match.
The most telling statistic was Başakşehir's shot differential of +9 (17 to 8), showcasing their attacking superiority. Coupled with their higher-quality chances (xG of 1.96), this underlined a comfortable and deserved victory built on clinical finishing and midfield control.