Analysis The numbers behind the result
Kasımpaşa unlucky as higher xG earns only a draw
The 1-1 draw flattered Başakşehir, with Kasımpaşa creating markedly better chances – their xG of 1.59 dwarfed the hosts' 0.76. Despite 65% possession, Başakşehir's dominance in build-up didn't translate to quality shots (just 2 on target from 12 attempts, with 8 coming from outside the box). Eldor Shomurodov's early strike (18', assisted by Umut Bozok) against the run of play masked their lack of cutting edge.
Kasımpaşa's compact 5-4-1 restricted Başakşehir to hopeful long-range efforts (8 shots outside the box) while generating superior danger themselves (5 shots inside the box to Başakşehir's 4). Fousseni Diabaté's 81st-minute equaliser (assisted by Adrian Benedyczak) was overdue – the visitors had already registered more shots on target (3 vs 2) before the goal.
The decisive stat: Başakşehir's negative goals prevented (-0.68) highlights how their goalkeeper outperformed expectations to deny Kasımpaşa's higher-xG chances.