Analysis The numbers behind the result
Bahia dominate but fail to convert superiority into victory
The 1-1 draw slightly flattered Corinthians, with Bahia's superior xG (0.65 vs 0.17) and shot volume (12 total shots, 8 inside the box) suggesting they should have edged it. Despite 60% possession and 6 corners, Bahia only managed 2 shots on target — a recurring issue for sides who dominate the ball but lack cutting edge. Corinthians' early goal from F. Angileri (8') against the run of play set the tone for a match where clinical finishing (1 goal from 0.17 xG) papered over structural weaknesses.
Bahia's equaliser from David Duarte (45+4') rewarded their territorial dominance, but a disallowed goal (11') and 8 off-target shots proved costly. Corinthians' defensive discipline (4 yellow cards, 2 blocked shots) and compact shape (40% possession, 81% pass accuracy) limited Bahia to low-quality chances. The decisive stat: Bahia's 0.65 xG underperformance — their 2 shots on target from 12 attempts highlighting profligacy in key moments.