Analysis The numbers behind the result
Rosario Central steal victory despite lower xG
The result flattered Rosario Central, who clinched a 3-2 win despite Atletico Tucuman creating the better chances. The home side posted a higher expected goals (xG) of 1.42 compared to Rosario's 0.77, reflecting their superior efficiency in dangerous areas, with 12 shots inside the box to Central's 8. However, Rosario's clinical edge was decisive, converting three of their nine shots on target.
Central struck early with Gastón Ávila netting twice in quick succession (3', 6'), but Tucuman rallied with Pedro Canelo (37') and Ramiro Ruiz Rodríguez (42') levelling before halftime. Julian Fernandez's 80th-minute winner, assisted by Álan Rodríguez, proved the difference, showcasing Rosario's ability to capitalise when it mattered most. Despite dominating possession (66%) and completing 457 accurate passes, Rosario's higher shot volume (16 total shots) masked their lower shot quality.
The decisive stat? Rosario Central's clinical finishing, converting three goals from an xG of just 0.77, defying the underlying numbers to secure the victory.