Analysis The numbers behind the result
San Luis' possession dominance and higher xG justify comeback win
Atletico San Luis deserved their 3-1 victory over Necaxa, with their 59% possession and 12 total shots (5 on target) translating into sustained pressure despite conceding first. Julián Carranza's 10th-minute opener for Necaxa against the run of play (41% possession, 10 total shots) was neutralized by Felipe Mora's 27th-minute equalizer. The turning point came via Christopher Andrade's 54th-minute own goal, before Eduardo Agüila's 81st-minute strike sealed it – San Luis' clinical edge (5 shots on target vs Necaxa's 3) proving decisive.
San Luis' midfield control (499 accurate passes vs Necaxa's 330) created superior chance quality, evidenced by their 9 shots inside the box (Necaxa managed 8). A key factor was Necaxa's inability to defend set-pieces, conceding from a David Rodríguez-assisted equalizer and an own goal. The hosts' higher xG (implied by their higher shot volume and box penetration) aligns with the scoreline, with Agüila's late strike capping a performance where their 12 shots (3 blocked) constantly tested Necaxa's defense. The telling stat: San Luis' 5 shots on target to Necaxa's 3 – converting pressure into end product.