Analysis The numbers behind the result
Monterrey's clinical finishing and Atlas discipline cost decide contest
Monterrey's 2-0 victory was deserved based on the balance of play, with their superior xG (1.81 to 0.43) reflecting greater chance creation. Despite near-equal possession (51% to 49%) and only three more total shots (12 to 9), Monterrey were more efficient — converting 33% of their shots on target (4) compared to Atlas' solitary effort. Diego Rossi's 28th-minute opener set the tone before Lucas Ocampos' 90+7 penalty sealed it, capitalising on Atlas' disciplinary collapse.
The game turned on Monterrey's ability to convert higher-quality chances — their five shots inside the box yielded 1.6 of their xG total. Conversely, Atlas' nine shots included just one on target, with five yellows and two reds disrupting their rhythm. Monterrey's defensive organisation limited Atlas to 0.11 xG per shot while goalkeeper Cardenas faced minimal threat with just one save required.
The decisive stat is Monterrey's xG overperformance — scoring twice from 1.81 xG shows ruthless finishing, while Atlas failed to score from six corners and 0.43 xG.