Analysis The numbers behind the result
Queretaro clinical despite Atlas dominance
Atlas' 58% possession and higher shot volume (13 total shots, 6 corners) masked their inefficiency, with just 3 shots on target and an xG of 0.87 failing to reflect their territorial dominance. Queretaro, despite fewer chances (11 total shots, 2 corners), were more clinical, converting their 1.42 xG into three goals from five shots on target.
The game turned decisively in Queretaro's favour after Manuel Capasso's 52nd-minute red card. Santiago Homenchenko's brace (39' penalty, 70' open play) and Carlos Garcia's 76th-minute goal capitalised on Atlas' defensive disorganisation. Garcia's own goal in the 42nd minute compounded Atlas' misfortune, as their numerical disadvantage proved insurmountable.
The key stat: Queretaro's conversion rate of 27% from shots (3 goals from 11 attempts) compared to Atlas' 7.7% (1 goal from 13 attempts) explains the result despite Atlas' dominance in possession and territory.