Analysis The numbers behind the result
Parma defy xG with ruthless finishing against dominant Atalanta
Despite Atalanta's overwhelming dominance in possession (70%) and chance creation (20 total shots, 6 on target, 2.89 xG), Parma emerged victorious with a clinically efficient performance that belied their limited opportunities (6 total shots, 3 on target, 0.42 xG). The visitors' ability to convert their scarce chances into three goals, coupled with Atalanta's wastefulness in front of goal (6 saves by Parma keeper Daffara), proved decisive.
Parma's tactical discipline and counter-attacking threat were evident, with Giovanni Fabbian opening the scoring in the 41st minute before turning provider for Simone Lontani's 58th-minute strike. The hosts' woes were compounded by Davide Zappacosta's 47th-minute own goal, which effectively killed off any momentum despite their territorial advantage. Atalanta's 8 corners and 16 shots inside the box highlighted their attacking intent, but Parma's defensive resilience and clinical edge in transition proved insurmountable.
The key stat explaining this result is clear: Parma scored 3 goals from just 0.42 xG, showcasing their extraordinary efficiency in front of goal while Atalanta's 2.89 xG yielded nothing. This game serves as a stark reminder that possession and chance creation alone are not always enough to guarantee victory.
Match Timeline
Formations
Team Stats
Possession
Expected Goals (xG)
Line-ups
- 29M. Carnesecchi
- 77D. Zappacosta
- 42G. Scalvini
- 40R. ObriÄ
- 47L. Bernasconi
- 13Éderson
- 8Mario Pasalic
- 59N. Zalewski
- 17C. De Ketelaere
- 11J. Rowe
- 90N. Krstović
- E. Elmas
- J. Idele
- M. Plaia
- L. Samardžić
- M. Sonzogni
- M. Sportiello
- K. Sulemana
- Sergej Levak
- 30G. Daffara
- 15E. Del Prato
- 37M. Troilo
- 72D. Drobnic
- 27S. Britschgi
- 80G. Fabbian
- 4V. Sierro
- 16M. Keita
- 14E. Valeri
- 19E. Touré
- 76S. Lontani
- B. Cremaschi
- D. Romero
- C. Ordoñez
- H. Nicolussi
- A. N'Diaye
- Abdou Konate
- S. Ghidotti
- M. Frigan
- N. Elphege
- Diego Carlos
- Ousmane Diallo
- E. Corvi

