Analysis The numbers behind the result
Alanyaspor defy possession odds with clinical finish
Alanyaspor's 1-0 victory over Beşiktaş was a classic case of efficiency over dominance. Despite holding just 35% possession and being outshot 14-9 (6-3 on target), the hosts' superior chance conversion proved decisive. Nuno Lima's 73rd-minute strike — one of just three shots on target from 0.41 xG — highlighted their clinical edge against Beşiktaş's wasteful 0.70 xG return from twice as many shots on goal.
Beşiktaş's 65% possession and 87% pass accuracy translated into territorial control but not clear chances, with six shots from outside the box underscoring their struggle to break Alanyaspor's compact 3-4-3. The visitors' xG of 0.70 from 14 shots (0.05 xG/shot) reflects low-quality attempts, while Alanyaspor generated 0.41 from nine (0.046 xG/shot) but made theirs count when Lima converted from close range. Paulo Victor's six saves were vital in preserving the clean sheet against superior pressure.
The decisive stat: Beşiktaş's -0.69 goals prevented (equal to Alanyaspor's) shows their keeper underperformed xG by the same margin as his counterpart, but Lima's finish was the one moment either side exceeded expectations.