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Pro League · Regular Season - 12

Analysis The numbers behind the result

Al Shabab crush 10-man Al-Ahli with ruthless xG overperformance

Al Shabab's 6-1 victory was a fair reflection of their dominance, with their 4.38 xG dwarfing Al-Ahli's 0.95. The hosts' 62% possession translated into 17 shots (7 on target) compared to Al-Ahli's 9 (4 on target), with the game pivoting on Abdulrahman Al-Sanbi's 22nd-minute red card. Ricardo Mathias (2', 48') and Yannick Carrasco (25', 66' pen, 82' pen) exploited the numerical advantage ruthlessly, converting three penalties and two open-play chances.

Despite Al-Ahli's early resistance – Firas Al-Buraikan's 40th-minute strike briefly made it 3-1 – the visitors' defensive collapse was staggering. Al Shabab overperformed xG by 1.62 goals (6 goals / 4.38 xG), while Al-Ahli marginally underperformed (1 goal / 0.95 xG). The hosts' 10 shots inside the box to Al-Ahli's 3 underscored their penetrating superiority. The telling stat: Al Shabab generated a shot every 3.4 passes (17 shots / 419 passes), illustrating their lethal transition efficiency against depleted opposition.

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