Analysis The numbers behind the result
AL Masry dominate xG but rue missed chances
AL Masry were left to rue their inefficiency in front of goal as they drew 1-1 with Abu Qair Semad despite posting an expected goals (xG) figure of 1.82 compared to their opponents' 0.7. The home side created more opportunities, registering 14 total shots (6 on target) to Abu Qair's 8 (3 on target), and also held 55% possession. However, they failed to make their dominance count, with Salah Mohsen's 79th-minute penalty their only reward.
Abu Qair Semad, by contrast, were more clinical, scoring with their first shot on target through Omar Ibrahim in the 64th minute. Their defensive setup, with a compact 4-5-1 formation, limited AL Masry's clear-cut chances despite conceding territory. The hosts also saw a 74th-minute penalty cancelled by VAR, compounding their frustration.
The decisive stat was AL Masry's inability to convert their xG dominance into goals, with their 1.82 xG resulting in just one actual goal. Their wastefulness in front of goal, particularly from open play, ultimately cost them victory.