Analysis The numbers behind the result
Toney's clinical finishing flattens Abha in xG rout
Al-Ahli Jeddah's 4-0 win was thoroughly deserved, outperforming Abha both in chance creation (2.77 xG vs 1.27) and conversion. Despite even 50% possession shares, the hosts produced 16 shots (7 on target) to Abha's 12 (3 on target), with Ivan Toney's early brace (5', 13' pen) setting the tone for Al-Ahli's dominance in the final third.
The hosts were ruthlessly efficient, scoring 4 from 2.77 xG — exemplified by Toney completing his hat-trick (57') from just three shots on goal. Abha's 1.27 xG (including 4 blocked shots) highlighted their inability to test Mendy meaningfully beyond speculative efforts. Trincao's solo strike (51') capped a fluid attacking display, with Al-Ahli creating 11 shots inside the box to Abha's 10. The decisive stat: Al-Ahli converted 44% of their shots on target (4/7) while Abha failed to score from theirs (0/3).