Analysis The numbers behind the result
PSV's superior shot efficiency proves decisive in high-volume contest
PSV Eindhoven's 3-1 victory was merited by their clinical edge in a game where Ajax dominated possession (53%) but struggled to convert territorial advantage into clear chances. Despite Ajax's higher shot volume (19 vs 13), PSV registered matching shots on target (5) from fewer attempts, finishing with ruthless efficiency as their three goals came from just 0.38 non-penalty xG per Opta's model — Ricardo Pepi's early strike (5') set the tone before Lutsharel Geertruida's crucial first-half stoppage-time goal (45+1') broke parity.
Though Tolu Arokodare's 23rd-minute equaliser briefly levelled terms, PSV's compact defensive shape limited Ajax to only 1 corner and 31% of shots from inside the box hitting the target. The decisive xG gap emerged when Esmir Bajraktarević converted PSV's only big chance in added time (90+2'), assisted by Sven Mijnans — one of three PSV substitutes directly involved in goals. With six yellow cards, Peter Bosz's side sacrificed discipline to disrupt Ajax's rhythm despite being outpassed (513 to 446).
The telling metric: PSV's shots on target conversion rate (60%) dwarfed Ajax's 31.6%, proving more economical in the final third despite equal xG output from open play.
Match Timeline
Formations
Team Stats
Possession
Line-ups
- 1M. ter Stegen
- 3A. Gaaei
- 30A. Bouwman
- 15Y. Baas
- 12Caio Henrique
- 18D. Klaassen
- 24J. Mokio
- 8J. Brandt
- 23S. Berghuis
- 99T. Arokodare
- 10O. Gloukh
- O. Edvardsen
- K. Dolberg
- M. Paes
- A. Ouazane
- Marcos Leonardo
- T. Kehrer
- D. Janse
- Lucas Rosa
- Jofre Torrents
- V. Tsygankov
- S. Amrabat
- O. Wijndal
- 32M. Kovář
- 8S. Dest
- 2L. Geertruida
- 4A. Obispo
- 17Mauro Júnior
- 24K. Sano
- 31N. Fernandez
- 5I. Perišić
- 20G. Til
- 7R. van Bommel
- 9R. Pepi
- P. Wanner
- A. Santos
- N. Olij
- Khadim Ngom
- F. Kostić
- Yarek Gasiorowski
- R. Flamingo
- A. Bouhamdi
- E. Bajraktarevic
- S. Mijnans

