Analysis The numbers behind the result
Milan capitalise on Venezia's defensive lapses
AC Milan's 2-0 victory was a fair reflection of their control and superior chance creation, as their 2.13 xG comfortably outstripped Venezia's 0.82. Despite dominating possession (58%) and registering 16 shots, Milan's breakthrough came from a defensive error, with Gonçalo Ramos capitalising on an assist from Alexis Saelemaekers in the 69th minute. Venezia's struggles were compounded by their own miscue, as Rinor Halhal's own goal in the 89th minute sealed their fate.
Although Venezia matched Milan in shots inside the box (7 vs 11), their lack of composure was evident, with just 2 shots on target compared to Milan's 5. The visitors' disciplinary issues also hindered their ability to build momentum, conceding three yellow cards compared to Milan's one. Ramos' clinical finish and Halhal's unfortunate error proved decisive in a game where Milan's attacking pressure ultimately told.
The key stat explaining the outcome remains Milan's superiority in expected goals (2.13 vs 0.82), highlighting their greater efficiency in converting possession into high-quality chances.