The UEFA Nations League League C – Group 4 heats up as Cyprus host Latvia on Monday, October 5, 2026, at 16:00 UTC. With both nations locked in a fierce battle to avoid relegation, this encounter promises high stakes and tense moments.
Form Guide
Cyprus enter this match in decent form, with their last five fixtures yielding a Loss, Draw, and Win. Their attack has managed an average of 1.0 goals per game, while their defence has been solid, conceding only 0.7 goals per match. On the other hand, Latvia struggle with a recent run of Loss, Draw, Loss. Their offensive output has been lacklustre, averaging a mere 0.3 goals per game, and defensively they’ve been vulnerable, conceding 1.3 goals per match. This stark contrast in form could play a pivotal role in determining the outcome.
Head-to-Head
The recent history between Cyprus and Latvia suggests a closely contested rivalry. Their last meeting on September 28, 2026, ended in a goalless draw, while their clash on March 21, 2024, resulted in a 1-1 stalemate. These encounters highlight the evenly matched nature of the two sides, with neither team able to assert dominance in recent years.
Team News & Injuries
Both Cyprus and Latvia approach this fixture with clean bills of health, with no reported injuries or suspensions. This is a significant boost for both sides, allowing their managers to field their strongest possible lineups. The absence of key absentees means fans can expect a full-strength contest, further intensifying the battle for Nations League survival.
The Odds
According to bookmaker William Hill, Cyprus are strong favourites with odds of 1.62 to claim victory. A draw stands at 3.50, while Latvia’s chances of an upset are priced at 5.00. These figures reflect the perceived disparity in form and quality heading into the match.
Our Prediction
Based on the data, Cyprus hold a slight edge with a 45% chance of victory compared to Latvia’s 10%. However, the draw also stands at 45%, indicating the potential for a tightly contested affair. Given Cyprus’ superior form and home advantage, we predict a narrow victory: Cyprus 1-0 Latvia. This scoreline aligns with their recent defensive solidity and Latvia’s struggles in front of goal. Expect a tense, hard-fought match as both nations fight to stay in League C.
Odds are informational, correct at time of publishing and subject to change. 18+, please gamble responsibly.
